# Predict my marathon time...

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17/09/2012 at 21:35

Hi everyone,

Thought it would be interesting to find out what people reckon my target marathon time should be. (Running on the 14th October) The image below is a screen shot of my activity, and you can also add on me playing football once a week.

So, what do you reckon? Thanks.

Edited: 17/09/2012 at 21:39
17/09/2012 at 21:56

I'll play. 3h40m.

Kryten    pirate
17/09/2012 at 22:02

According to my calculations you will run it in exactly 3hours 32min 24sec.

cougie    pirate
17/09/2012 at 23:11
3.25 ish.
17/09/2012 at 23:28
3:21:43
17/09/2012 at 23:29
you should do under 3:15-20 but doesnt seem like many long runs, 20s.

Which marathon?
17/09/2012 at 23:32

Well according to the Mac calc, 3.06. based on your hm . 3.07 on your 10k

I have used the mac calc for some time and if I put in the work its pretty spot on. So I would say aim for that sort of time. Allow your self a 3:30 finish time as a max. Good to have a bit of fear and loathing in the belly

Whatevery you have left at mile 20 use it up.

Come in spent and paid in full

This a mile by mile break down of a very negative 3:30 marathon.

The numbers are Distance, Split, Pace,  Average pace

1 mile 08:37 08:37 08:37 2 mile 17:12 08:35 08:36 3 mile 25:44 08:32 08:35 4 mile 34:12 08:29 08:33 5 mile 42:38 08:26 08:32 6 mile 51:01 08:23 08:30 7 mile 59:21 08:20 08:29 8 mile 01:07:37 08:17 08:27 9 mile 01:15:51 08:14 08:26 10 mile 01:24:02 08:11 08:24 11 mile 01:32:11 08:08 08:23 12 mile 01:40:16 08:05 08:21 13 mile 01:48:18 08:02 08:20 13.1 mile (half) 01:49:12 08:02 08:20 14 mile 01:56:17 07:59 08:18 15 mile 02:04:14 07:56 08:17 16 mile 02:12:07 07:53 08:15 17 mile 02:19:58 07:51 08:14 18 mile 02:27:45 07:48 08:13 19 mile 02:35:30 07:45 08:11 20 mile 02:43:12 07:42 08:10 21 mile 02:50:51 07:39 08:08 22 mile 02:58:27 07:36 08:07 23 mile 03:05:59 07:33 08:05 24 mile 03:13:30 07:30 08:04 25 mile 03:20:57 07:27 08:02 26 mile 03:28:21 07:24 08:01 26.2 mile 03:30:00 07:22 08:00

Edited: 17/09/2012 at 23:35
17/09/2012 at 23:54

S E F: The calculators probably do come out at around 3:06 but I can't see too much endurance work there. My guess is 3:15 if all goes well on the day.

18/09/2012 at 09:04

3:27:19

18/09/2012 at 09:20

Nothing to do with the thread, sorry, but Im fascinated that you can run a half in 1:28 yet only average 9.6 mph over 11.19 miles? Not taking the piss but where you cycling with a child? I'm half an hour slower than you over a half, so yes very unfit, yet even on the most easiest, slowest, free wheeling half the the time, dallying about ride I average 15 mph? I would've thought an easy ride for you would've been closer to 20 mph?

18/09/2012 at 09:32

The lack of long runs may tell...3.38.

18/09/2012 at 09:37

^^^^ Agree, lack of long runs will be a big factor here. 3.27.

18/09/2012 at 09:44

I'm with Freemers - Given the race is now less than a month away I would have expected to see a few more 20s in there - at least 4/5 - I am presuming you will be looking to get in at least a 22 this weekend -  and maybe an 18/20 the followong week.

18/09/2012 at 09:48

Hi all.

Thanks for the comments, very interesting

It's the Leicester Marathon.

I've used the Mcmillan predictor but I've not run frequently enough to get anywhere near the 3:06 it suggests!

I'm hoping for anything under 3:45. I was training for a marathon 2 years ago but got injured and could only do the half. I would have been looking at 3:15 then. My first marathon so finishing is the main aim! My first half marathon was 1:45 as I took it cautiously but from then on I knew I could put a lot more into it and haven't run slower than 1:35 in a race since.

Lardarse, I wasn't cycling with a child! Was only a tootle round and almost the entire ride was off-road, and a good chunk of it was across freshly ploughed fields! Also got to take into account numerous gates I had to open and close.

18/09/2012 at 10:05
Grendel3 wrote (see)

I'm with Freemers - Given the race is now less than a month away I would have expected to see a few more 20s in there - at least 4/5 - I am presuming you will be looking to get in at least a 22 this weekend -  and maybe an 18/20 the followong week.

A 22? I wasn't planning to go above 20...

I was looking at doing 20 this coming weekend, and then an 18 on the next and then just light work for the final weekend.

18/09/2012 at 12:06
Splendid. What do I win?

I'm hoping for around 4hours on 4th November. Did my first 18miler on Sunday. Reading comments above I may have to do a few more
18/09/2012 at 14:54

Did almost the same time at last years GNR, did loch ness marathon two weeks later in exactly 3.15. Off of only one 20 miler and a couple of 18's. So 3.15 would sound a reasonable bet on that basis.

18/09/2012 at 15:19

3-17-12

18/09/2012 at 17:14
dhale750 wrote (see)

Did almost the same time at last years GNR, did loch ness marathon two weeks later in exactly 3.15. Off of only one 20 miler and a couple of 18's. So 3.15 would sound a reasonable bet on that basis.

But how many times did you run per week?

19/09/2012 at 21:11

4 - 5 usually

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