Absolutely stupid to just peg it and hope you can last that pace imho.Train in a manner which enables you to reach your goal, how are you training at the present time?
I'd go for it - start off bang on 49.59 pace and see if you can keep it going. If you are lucky you'll be able to tag onto a group or another runner going that speed and take pace from them.
It's slower than your 5k pace - not massively so but still slower so you should be able to get further than half way at sub 50 pace - and once you are much more than half way in a 10k there is only a mile or so to go.
Sounds like you have the confidence to go for it, you will know pretty soon if the pace is too quick for you, if it is just back off a little.
Actually, practising race pace a few days out is a very good idea, just not 8k of it! It's too late to get any real fitness benefit from hard training now and you'll risk not being recovered in time for the race. Consider a tempo run of something like 40 mins: 10 mins warm-up, 4k @ 5mins/km (20 mins), 10 mins cool-down. Run the tempo section as evenly as possible and try to hit 5:00 for each split (if you can measure it, of course.)
Apart from that, the best thing you can do is a couple of very easy short runs and lots of rest before the race.
Excellent. Good work. Quite often, going into the race aiming to break the big barrier will not result in it happening. But you are so close now. Try a different course next time. I have never broken 50 at Dunsfold despite it supposedly being a flat PB course, yet have broken 50 twice on the Egdon Easy, which isn't flat.
By next year, you should have it!
Congrats on the PB.
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