1:29 HM =1st marathon time of??

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13/04/2013 at 16:32

5 weeks to go until my first marathon.

When decided to run this was thinking sub 4:00 would be ok for first one (then had HM pb 1:36)

Training started to go ok and decided to try for 3:30 ish have managed all training sessions for this time-all have felt ok-gone slightly faster on intervals and LSR

Yesterday may marathon plan said sub 1:37 HM in middle of 16 mile run, i decided to run it as a time trial not 100% effort all the way but close by the end.

I ended up with 1:29:50 for the 13.1 miles and a avarage pace of 6:58 for the 16 miles.

If i put this into a calculator this suggest a sub 3:10 marathon!

I would love to get sub 3:15 and a GFA time but I am very worried about blowing up towards the end of the race.

What should I do? Go out at 3:15 pace and try to hold on-how bad could i feel if this goes wrong? I am talking something like 20 miles @3:15 pace then blowing and the last 6.2 a bit slower so still making current goal of 3:30 ish or is it more likely to be blowing and last 6.2 very slow / walking and struggling to get sub 4:00??

 I am going to try mid distance tri's next year so this although my first maraton could be my last for a while (unless get GFA time) 

 

kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 17:36

Are you training for a mara yet, if so how are your longer runs going?

13/04/2013 at 17:42
Long runs going ok.
Last one 23 miles @ 7:50 pace
kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 17:48

Ok, that's looking good. I would suggest if it continues that you aim for 3.15, even pace and fuel well. The guys that I've been doing my long runs with are running 7.10 pace aiming for sub 3 mara. I tend to drop off that pace for the long runs after about 10 miles and then end up at av your pace, and I'm aiming for 3.10 at London (well i was before I missed a shed load of runs because of illness).

My best half is 1.28.10, and from that all being well i would have aimed for 3.10. I think you should go for it.

Edited: 13/04/2013 at 17:48
kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 17:49

However I only need 3.... whatever for GFA being devoid of a knob, it's so much harder for men. Good luck

Edited: 13/04/2013 at 17:50
seren nos    pirate
13/04/2013 at 17:50

thats impressive half time since it was not under race conditions

 

if you have got the training in and you are not dead after the long runs I would say definitely go for the 3:15

kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 17:52

Oh and your first sentence said when you were going for your mara, damn my skim reading

13/04/2013 at 18:20
Thanks
KK your skim reading is like my listening- or so my wife would say!!

Looking like going for 3:15 then as long as next few weeks of training goes ok
kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 18:37
running eye wrote (see)
Thanks
KK your skim reading is like my listening- or so my wife would say!!

Looking like going for 3:15 then as long as next few weeks of training goes ok

Yeah I think you should be confident, we have a young guy in our club who has a similar history and he just did 3.07 in Paris. As long as you can mentally dig deep when your body is sending you conflicting messages, you'll be good.

13/04/2013 at 18:49
The difference there is you said he is a young guy.
I am 42 and after a hard run don't feel that young anymore
kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 18:52

I'm 42 also, I just assumed you were younger...

It's possible at our advanced age.

kittenkat    pirate
13/04/2013 at 18:53

With steroids, fairy dust and alcohol.

13/04/2013 at 19:37
Well about to get a good portion of the alcohol now
Will look for some fairy dust tomorrow.
And I am sure I have some steroid eye drops somewhere
Sorted!!
Thanks kk
13/04/2013 at 19:52
Looking good for sub 3:15. My 1st HM was 1:28 and bought me a 3:02 on a hilly course (last year age 42) My long run pace is around 7:30s for a sub3. Worth trying out some marathon pace at the end of a long run.
cougie    pirate
13/04/2013 at 23:14
AR - have you run any more halfs ? I reckon you should be smashing 1.28 if you can run 3.02. They don't seem to match up.
16/04/2013 at 23:53
I think you could run sub-3:15 ...dare I say "easily" ?
Edited: 16/04/2013 at 23:54
17/04/2013 at 09:58

If you can time-trial a sub-1:30 HM in training I think 3:15 is definitely on.  I agree with A-r, try and add in 5 miles @ target pace towards the end of a long run, and/or do another mid-long run as before, 16 with 13 @ target pace, keep an eye on splits and really try to hit target pace, ideally tracking heart rate as well.  If you can complete that run feeling relatively comfortable, HR nice and steady, etc. this will be very good confidence for holding the pace during the race.

A-r - That's a crazy conversion.  Go out and run 1:22 please! 

Edited: 17/04/2013 at 09:58
17/04/2013 at 10:02

I think that if you can run a 1:29:50 HM in the middle of a 16 mile training run, then in a HM race you should be looking at significantly quicker, ie 1:25ish.

I am looking at a 1:22/1:23 HM next time out and wouldn't fancy trying to run 1:29 in training (and I wouldn't recommend doing it too often).

Assuming the above I would have though 3:15 is definitely within your capabilities.

17/04/2013 at 11:19

Thanks all

did a interval session monday which plan (for a sub 3:30) said

7 miles with 5*1 miles @7:00 miles pace

ran the intervals @

6:43 slight up hill

7:13 200 foot climb

7:07 210 foot climb

5:53 100 foot of decline

6:08 slight decline

Av of around 6:30 ish

wanted to push to test if a sub 3:15 is on. Not sure what the spilts tell me though??

My long run Friday is 22 miles will look at running last 5-6 at 7:20 pace.

And that sound a good idea Phil I think next week (last week before tapper) I will swop a speed session for that 13 miles @ target pace

19/04/2013 at 22:41
So did my long run today 23.3 miles.
Followed philpub's advice and ran the 5 of the last 6 miles @7:20 pace.
I also thought it would be a good test to run the first few miles target pace.
I ended up running the first 7 miles @ 7:20 pace as well.
Between mile 7 and 16 average pace was around 7:40.
I ended up with 23.3 miles in 2:55 average pace 7:30.

So what now??
The last mile felt hard today, aware of not wanting or needing to push things I dropped pace to 7:50 for that mile.
If this had been my marathon I think I could have done the last 2.8 miles @ 8:00 pace or quicker giving a total time of 3:18 ish.

I now have 4 weeks to go until my marathon. Really unsure on what to do.
If I get to it at the same level of fitness I am now the 3:15 is a good possibility.
So how do I just maintain what I have now, I don't want to push training now and risk injury but I also don't want to lose fitness.
My remaining long runs are (each week)20/18/12/marathon how shall I run these, should I ease of intervals/ tempo mid week sessions from now?

Sorry loads of question I know. As this is my first marathon it's a leap in the dark for me.
I am concerned about either going out at 3:15 pace and blowing up, equally though going out at 3:30 pace feeling good at the half way point but leaving far to much to do in the second half to get 3:15

Did say I would run first for experience and not worry about time under 4:00 was original target!!!
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