Oops dont know why email didnt tell me I had answers 
Its a 24 hour event at the end of February. Coming back from injury last year my marathon time now is about 4.10. PB before injury was 3:55 I think. I do one minute walk every mile roughly for most of my long runs now except if my long run coincides with a marathon event and I do it as a lsr continuously with no walks.The next day I am able to do a 20 miler with run /walk in about the same time or faster than the first 20 of the previous days marathon.
I have possibility of a 12 hour event next month which I could use as a trial run for the 24 and as I am not competitive , I think I would be able to hold back and not go eyeballs out and mess up whatever I could manage on the 24.
Does this make sense?