Ignore your mates and stick at it Jegs, you've obviously got lots of potential. With youth, natural speed and a tri base you should aim for the 3:05 with confidence. Your biggest problem will likely be getting carried away with your pacing in the first half of the race. Exuberance and enthusiasm are not your friends. Fix a pacing plan and stick to it with discipline. If you cross the line in 3:04 with loads left in the tank you know what to do next time. Stick around, I'd like to see how you get on.