Joe Volcano

Latest posts by Joe Volcano

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Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 20/08/2015 at 12:27
RicF wrote (see)
Joe Volcano wrote (see)
RicF wrote (see)

Not Radcliffe.

If it was. Why would she be commenting on the cheats like she is today on twitter?

Her physiology was proven to be one in a million at age 17.


Then I look forward to seeing her chart shortly...

... drums fingers


Clearly not. If her statement today is anything to go by.

I'm going off her.


I really don't know what to think after watching that interview, never seen anyone look so hunted and defensive. If she'd had any sense she'd have clarified her position in detail the day after Mo and Jo's data was published. This just gives the impression we had to drag it out of her.



Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 12/08/2015 at 17:10
yellow52 wrote (see)

I think they need to be careful in naming individuals, because all this is based on probabilities rather than hard and fast pass/fail tests.

To say that someone's data is 'abnormal' you need to know what 'normal' is, and that won't be a simple value, it will be a bell-curve distributed around some average value and a small number of people will naturally fall in the extremes of that range without any doping. Variations in a persons numbers over time will occur naturally to a greater or lesser extent. What this type of analysis relies on is that the further from average you are, and/or the greater the variation in the numbers, the less likely it is that it all occurred naturally.

As an simplistic example, if a test result is given as a "1 in a 1000 chance of occurring naturally" and I perform 1000 tests I could expect to find 1 of those results occuring naturally. If I actually find 10 "1 in a 1000" results then I be pretty sure there is doping going on, but I can't say for sure who are the 9 dopers and who is the natural outlier.

I'm less interested in individuals for that reason, more interested in questions like:

- were the IAAF aware the overall data was dodgy as hell compared to expected profiles?

- if you look at individual countries or even groups of athletes sharing same coach, are there clear patterns of greater abnormality in one population versus another? Again - not sufficient to convict an individual of doping, but sufficient to shine a spotlight, conduct other more specific tests and investigations etc.

Yes, the whole test/sanction protocol revolves around probabilites.

The issue of how aware they were and what proportion had been properly followed up seems to be one of the hot issues between Ashenden and the IAAF - see his breaking open letter to Coe:


"After we had responded to each and every one of the IAAFs initial serious reservations concerning the analyses we undertook, the single remaining strand of criticism centred on the assertion that we had no knowledge whatsoever of the actions taken by the IAAF in following these suspicious profiles. For the sake of completeness, I will address that assertion too.

First, although the Sunday Times cross matched athletes with competition results and any history of sanctions, they shared this information with us after we had submitted our opinions but before we were interviewed for the publications. Consequently, we did know which athletes had been sanctioned by the IAAF. Moreover, relying on the information provided in advance by the IAAF to Sunday Times, we were also familiar with the number of ABP cases (final, under appeal, and pending).

Second, the WADA ABP Operating Guidelines indicate how targeted blood tests on suspicious athletes should be scheduled. Indeed, I participated in the development of those strategies. Consequently, by interrogating the frequency of blood tests following a suspicious blood result, I was able to form an opinion on the robustness of the IAAFs follow up programme.


Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 10/08/2015 at 08:54
RicF wrote (see)

Not Radcliffe.

If it was. Why would she be commenting on the cheats like she is today on twitter?

Her physiology was proven to be one in a million at age 17.


Then I look forward to seeing her chart shortly...

... drums fingers

Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 10/08/2015 at 08:22

No word on the subject on Laura Weightman's twitter account either so far. This should make for some interesting chat from the commentary team in Beijing - wonder what advice Steve Cram is giving her, although its up to her of course.

Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 09/08/2015 at 16:59

The female GB athlete on the red list whose test value only has a 1/1000 chance of being natural and who threatened to sue the Sunday Times if they named her.

(allegedly a redacted version of her entry).

Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 09/08/2015 at 13:38

Now that people like Mo and Jo have put their data online its going to be fascinating to see who doesn't follow suit. Presumably the non-publishing will be led by she who can't be named but that will be a tad embarrassing when the Beijing BBC commentary starts up and she has to give us a story about why not. Personally I still think she is clean but I'd still like to see all the data and hear the explanations for it.

Scottish Runners

Posted: 15/03/2015 at 14:03

Spooky - I've just been up there too !! I only passed one runner, she was coming under the underpass as I returned - was that you?. Overtook one poor MTBer on the steep bit - I'm convinced he got off after I went by.

First time I've run up and still tired from a 4 1/2 hour bike ride yesterday, will have another go later see how much faster I can do it.


When to take beta blocker on race day

Posted: 03/12/2014 at 20:02

Sorry to hear you ended up on bbs, I refused to go on them and they gave me Procoralan instead (not sure if they would work with your prob). This would be a good question to ask on the cardiacathletes forum. I vaguely recall some people took half a dose am then the rest later but not sure if that would be sufficient and I'm not a doc of course...

I'm being investigated now for VT, how bad is yours ie how long and high do the episodes go and do they self resolve eventually anyway or do they need cardioversion? I have an ICD but the probs I am having aren't high enough to trigger therapy.

Atrial Flutter...What Next?

Posted: 03/12/2014 at 19:57

I know you are keen to try your heart out but I'd concentrate on running by feel. I had different heart probs and went through an official cardiac rehab program supervised by nurses, they did a formula calculation (I think they used the Karvonen one which wasn't far out for me) and we worked to a safe percentage of that. They were pretty horrified when I told them I was off for my first race

The probs at the beginning may be poor contact/lack of moisture under the strap. It depends how good your strap is and how much you wet it and how much you sweat as you go along.

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