Joe Volcano

Latest posts by Joe Volcano

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Moving the goal posts

Posted: 09/03/2016 at 09:15

WADA pre-announce list additions each September to take effect from the following January. All sportsmen and women should be checking that list including looking at alternative names for each of their drugs. This is the same drug that Aregawi and some other Ethiopian runners have been busted for. Aregawi just said she don't know how it got into her. I'd put her response in the same category as Sharapova's myself.

I'd love to hear an update from Sharapova as presumably she now has an urgent need for a replacement angina/dodgy ECG drug, right?

jogging for boxing

Posted: 02/10/2015 at 10:11


Struggling to keep heart rate down

Posted: 30/09/2015 at 09:54

A good Polar strap propertly wetted under the cold water tap works fine straight out the door. The only time I get problems are if its very cold and windy and it dries out or I bend down (say to tie shoelaces, so always put trainers on first). Don't wait for it to work off sweat.

Great Scottish Run

Posted: 30/09/2015 at 08:44

Looks like the high pressure will just about hang on for us - just hope we don't get the early morning fog like wot I can see out my window now

Just completed my 1st 10k

Posted: 29/09/2015 at 16:34

If anything your race/training differential is quite small. Do most of your training at a pace where you could/can hold a conversation. In the race you should be breathing very hard, just on the edge of blowing up.

Strange HR reaction at first marathon

Posted: 29/09/2015 at 15:49

Most likely the stress of the earlier events you mention. Glad to hear you dad is ok.

Great Scottish Run

Posted: 29/09/2015 at 15:34

Stephen, that's true but that's for the HM runners. Like Carole I'm doing the 10k and she has it covered. Watch those extra hills if you're in the HM though.


Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 20/08/2015 at 12:27
RicF wrote (see)
Joe Volcano wrote (see)
RicF wrote (see)

Not Radcliffe.

If it was. Why would she be commenting on the cheats like she is today on twitter?

Her physiology was proven to be one in a million at age 17.


Then I look forward to seeing her chart shortly...

... drums fingers


Clearly not. If her statement today is anything to go by.

I'm going off her.


I really don't know what to think after watching that interview, never seen anyone look so hunted and defensive. If she'd had any sense she'd have clarified her position in detail the day after Mo and Jo's data was published. This just gives the impression we had to drag it out of her.



Panarama - Allan Wells - Drugs

Posted: 12/08/2015 at 17:10
yellow52 wrote (see)

I think they need to be careful in naming individuals, because all this is based on probabilities rather than hard and fast pass/fail tests.

To say that someone's data is 'abnormal' you need to know what 'normal' is, and that won't be a simple value, it will be a bell-curve distributed around some average value and a small number of people will naturally fall in the extremes of that range without any doping. Variations in a persons numbers over time will occur naturally to a greater or lesser extent. What this type of analysis relies on is that the further from average you are, and/or the greater the variation in the numbers, the less likely it is that it all occurred naturally.

As an simplistic example, if a test result is given as a "1 in a 1000 chance of occurring naturally" and I perform 1000 tests I could expect to find 1 of those results occuring naturally. If I actually find 10 "1 in a 1000" results then I be pretty sure there is doping going on, but I can't say for sure who are the 9 dopers and who is the natural outlier.

I'm less interested in individuals for that reason, more interested in questions like:

- were the IAAF aware the overall data was dodgy as hell compared to expected profiles?

- if you look at individual countries or even groups of athletes sharing same coach, are there clear patterns of greater abnormality in one population versus another? Again - not sufficient to convict an individual of doping, but sufficient to shine a spotlight, conduct other more specific tests and investigations etc.

Yes, the whole test/sanction protocol revolves around probabilites.

The issue of how aware they were and what proportion had been properly followed up seems to be one of the hot issues between Ashenden and the IAAF - see his breaking open letter to Coe:


"After we had responded to each and every one of the IAAFs initial serious reservations concerning the analyses we undertook, the single remaining strand of criticism centred on the assertion that we had no knowledge whatsoever of the actions taken by the IAAF in following these suspicious profiles. For the sake of completeness, I will address that assertion too.

First, although the Sunday Times cross matched athletes with competition results and any history of sanctions, they shared this information with us after we had submitted our opinions but before we were interviewed for the publications. Consequently, we did know which athletes had been sanctioned by the IAAF. Moreover, relying on the information provided in advance by the IAAF to Sunday Times, we were also familiar with the number of ABP cases (final, under appeal, and pending).

Second, the WADA ABP Operating Guidelines indicate how targeted blood tests on suspicious athletes should be scheduled. Indeed, I participated in the development of those strategies. Consequently, by interrogating the frequency of blood tests following a suspicious blood result, I was able to form an opinion on the robustness of the IAAFs follow up programme.


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